William Katz:  Urgent Agenda

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TRUMP STILL ADVANCING – AT 11:31 A.M. ET:  New polls continue to show a deterioration in Hillary Clinton's prospects.  It's panic time.  From Reuters:

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Republican Donald Trump appears to have carved out a wider path to the White House as a number of states including Florida and Ohio are no longer considered likely wins for Democratic rival Hillary Clinton, according to the latest Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project released on Saturday.

The project, which combines opinion polls with an analysis of voting patterns under different election scenarios, still shows Clinton would have the best chance of winning the presidency if the Nov. 8 election were held today. Yet Trump has caught up to her level of support in several states.

Clinton now has an 83 percent chance of winning the election by an average of 47 votes in the Electoral College, the body that ultimately selects the president. In late August, the States of the Nation estimated that Clinton had a 95 percent chance of winning by an average of 108 electoral votes.

COMMENT:  The key point is the amount of progress Trump has made in the last three weeks.  For Trump, the lesson is that he must continue that progress.  In the last three days he's faltered with foolish statements on foreign policy, including his praise of Vladimir Putin.

But Trump and, just as important, his staff, have shown a recent ability to repair damage and get back on track.  Clinton has shown no such ability.  She seems in a permanent rut, the candidate who apparently thinks the country owes her the presidency, regardless of what she does and says.

Long way to go, but this is now a horse race. 

September 10,  2016    

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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